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01/05/08
Year On Year Retail
Sales Fall - CBI
Year-on-year retail sales fell markedly in April as poor weather and the
early Easter added to the economic slowdown and dampened spending in the
South East, according to the CBI.
Sales of big-ticket items, particularly those tied to the housing
market, saw some of the biggest falls, according to the business
organisation's latest Distributive Trades Survey.
Malcolm Hyde, CBI South East Regional Director, said: “There is no doubt
that consumers are tightening their belts as the mood about the economy
and its outlook worsens. The trend in recent months has been one of
slowing growth and now we've seen a fall in sales volumes.
“The survey needs to be seen in the context of the timing of Easter this
year and the poor weather, which have further dampened sales this month.
Nevertheless trading conditions are challenging for retailers and sales
are expected to fall again in May, albeit at a slower rate.”
The monthly snapshot of the high street showed that 52 per cent of
retailers said sales volumes were down on a year ago compared to 25 per
cent who said they were up. The rounded balance of –26 per cent, with a
balance being the difference between the percentage of retailers
reporting an increase and those reporting a decrease, was the weakest
since November 2005. It is only expected to improve to -15 per cent in
May, signalling further falls in sales volumes.
Unsurprisingly, half of retailers (53%) said sales for the time of year
were poor while 15 per cent reported them as good. The balance (-38) is
the weakest since November 1992 (-43).
But, the CBI said, while high street activity has certainly dipped as
the economy has slowed, these results, surveying the first half of the
month, need to be put into context.
In 2007, Easter fell in April and the country enjoyed a mini-heatwave,
which helped lift the balance of retailers reporting year-on-year sales
growth to its highest for three years. However in 2008, the four-day
holiday weekend was in March and the weather was wet and windy, quashing
shoppers’ desire to hit the high street.
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